Schwab to join prediction markets race with S&P 500 event-based options: WSJ

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Crypto News

Charles Schwab is working with Cboe Global Markets to launch a new type of options contract that would allow customers to make yes-or-no wagers on the performance of the S&P 500, marking the brokerage’s first move into prediction markets, according to a Wall Street Journal report. The feature is expected to roll out to Schwab […]

Kentucky targets prediction markets, puts red state in potential clash with Trump team

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“This action runs counter to the CFTC’s established framework for regulating prediction markets,” the spokesperson said in a statement emailed to CoinDesk. So far, the states that have filed such a challenge against the prediction markets have met with counter suits from the CFTC, where Chairman Mike Selig has taken an aggressive legal stance defending […]

Trump praises prediction markets, defends CFTC as court cases compound

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Crypto News

U.S. President Donald Trump said it was “critically important” that the CFTC keep “exclusive authority” over prediction markets, echoing CFTC Chair Michael Selig in a post on Truth Social, his social media platform, late Tuesday afternoon. “Under my leadership, we are setting ‘rules of the road’ that are the Gold Standard for the States,” he […]

Sports betting should be regulated as a financial product, not gambling, aspiring prediction market provider says

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Crypto News

MIAMI BEACH, Fla. — Sports betting should be regulated as a federal financial product rather than a state-licensed casino product, two panelists said Thursday. Appearing at Consensus Miami 2026, Jacob Fortinsky, co-founder and CEO of sports betting platform Novig, said the legacy sportsbook model is structurally broken because it treats winning bettors as cheaters. “Sports […]

U.S. senators won’t be weighing in on prediction markets bets after banning themselves

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Crypto News

A U.S. Senate that’s struggled to move crypto market structure legislation moved like lightning on Thursday to ban themselves from participating in prediction markets. Acting on a simple, 14-line resolution pushed by Ohio Republican Senator Bernie Moreno, the Senate agreed unanimously to put a restriction between members and the increasingly popular, controversial betting platforms that […]

Hyperliquid’s HYPE token could be its prediction market weapon, Arthur Hayes says

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Crypto News

Leading decentralized exchange Hyperliquid’s push into prediction markets is about who captures the upside, not just cheaper trading, according to Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX exchange and CIO of Maelstrom fund. CoinDesk reported earlier that Hyperliquid is preparing a zero-fee-to-open model for event trading under HIP-4. The Hyperliquid Improvement Proposal (HIP)-4 is a proposal that […]

U.S. CFTC adds New York to string of states its suing to stop prediction market pushback

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Crypto News

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued New York on Friday in its latest action to shield what the agency has argued is its unassailable nationwide regulatory authority over prediction market firms. Earlier this week, New York sued Coinbase and Gemini, arguing that their prediction market contracts violated state gambling laws. And last year, the […]

Wisconsin joins prediction market fight, suing Kalshi, Coinbase, Polymarket, Robinhood and Crypto.com

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Crypto News

Prediction markets have a consistent line: their products are financial instruments, not bets. Wisconsin isn’t buying it, and in a new complaint targeting Kalshi, Coinbase, Polymarket, Robinhood and Crypto.com, the state is citing the companies’ own marketing to call them unlicensed gambling venues. “Thinly disguising unlawful conduct doesn’t make it lawful,” Attorney General Josh Kaul […]

High Roller stock soars as much as 130% on Crypto.com prediction market agreement

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Crypto News

High Roller Technologies Inc. (ROLR) stock more than doubled after the online casino operator said it planned to introduce an event-based prediction market in the U.S. in conjunction with Crypto.com. The Las Vegas-based company said Tuesday it will initially offer its customers Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA) event contracts in the U.S. across finance, sports […]

CFTC Chair Mike Selig argues for agency’s ‘exclusive regulatory authority’ in prediction markets fight: State of Crypto

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Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig told CoinDesk that the agency will continue to defend its “exclusive regulatory authority” to oversee prediction markets in court. “It doesn’t matter if it’s on sports, politics or anything else, if it’s a validly offered product within a CFTC-regulated exchange, then we regulate that,” Selig said. You’re reading […]

If one trader can force the outcome of a prediction market, it shouldn’t be tradable

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Crypto News

As platforms such as Polymarket gain mainstream visibility during U.S. election cycles and major geopolitical events, their prices are increasingly cited as real-time signals of truth. The pitch is seductive: let people put money behind beliefs, and the market will converge on reality faster than polls or pundits. But that promise collapses when a contract […]

Coinbase’s head of litigation says states are “gaslighting” on prediction markets

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Crypto News

Why it matters: Ryan VanGrack, Coinbase’s VP of legal and global head of litigation, is sharpening Coinbase’s challenge to state regulators, saying they are trying to rewrite Congress’ authority over derivatives. Coinbase has filed lawsuits in Connecticut, Illinois, Michigan and Nevada after launching prediction markets in partnership with Kalshi. Some of those states issued cease-and-desist […]